Developing Potential Swine Flu in Indonesia

Developing Potential Swine Flu in Indonesia - Swine flu is transmitted to humans could potentially develop in Indonesia. However, it is almost certain malignancies Mexican swine flu in the bird flu that has plagued Indonesia.

Head of Influenza Laboratory of the University of Airlangga CA Nidom Poultry, said swine flu is already prevalent. Illness with H1N1 virus in Indonesia has been used since. Subtype H1N1 in Indonesia or classical harmless. "Mexico's H1N1 type known as swine flu is dangerous now," he said in Surabaya on Tuesday (28/4).

Based on the research Center for Disease Control and Prevention of the United States, Mexico is strongly suspected H1N1 type of flu combined poultry, swine flu and human flu. Virus likely to change in the pig's body.

"Since 2005, I've been asking this hypothesis. I was afraid this would happen. Late last year I was again reminded of the potential dangers of this. However, some people are still opposed," he said.

The virus that change in the body of a pig is more likely transmitted to humans. The reason, humans and pigs are both mammals that tend to have similarities. In contrast, bird flu cannot be directly to humans.

"In theory, the avian virus could not be directly to mammals such as humans. There should be an intermediary for other mammals and is most likely a pig," he said.

In pigs, the virus changes to the two patterns. The first pattern of adaptation. "If this happens, the impact is not too dangerous because there is no change in the structure of the virus," he said.

The second pattern of rearrangements of the virus. Based on this pattern, the virus could evolve into a combination of swine flu, avian flu and human flu. "If listening to an explanation in the U.S., there is a possibility reassortan (rearrangements)," he said.

If that occurs, it is possible to develop swine flu in Indonesia. One of the supporters is the number of chicken and pig farms nearby. "Since the avian flu outbreak, I have argued the importance of rearranging the farm," he said.

However, on the other hand, Mexico is not the type of malignancy such as H1N1 H5N1. Of the approximately 1,500 cases worldwide, the new 150 were fatal. "The virus is rapidly spreading, but the damage is low. Rather slow spread of H5N1. However, the damage is very high," he said.

Less than a month, Mexico's H1N1 type already infecting thousands of people. While in three years, H5N1 cases recorded only about 300 cases worldwide. "I worry that the fast rearrangements produce infectious virus and the damage higher. Thanks so far not shown any sign of there," said Nidom